Free-flowing reach below Algonquin Dam through Carpentersville. A 72-hour environmental fishing outlook built from the same water, weather, light, and Safety evidence used by Conditions.
Fishing model updated Sep 18, 8:05 PM
Decision support
Environmental Fishing Outlook
Unfavorable
Fishing conditions look unfavorable
Water temperature is the strongest signal; river movement is the principal limitation.
Best modeled hour in the next 24 hours: Fri, Sep 18 · 8 PM · Unfavorable (37/100)
Model confidence
Moderate
Current score
37 / 100
On-water Safety
Go
Scored factors
4 of 4
Hourly outlook
Friday, Sep 18
Unfavorable
37/100 Why?Water temperature is the strongest signal; river movement is the principal limitation.
Unfavorable
37/100 Why?Water temperature is the strongest signal; river movement is the principal limitation.
Unfavorable
37/100 Why?Water temperature is the strongest signal; river movement is the principal limitation.
Unfavorable
37/100 Why?Water temperature is the strongest signal; river movement is the principal limitation.
Saturday, Sep 19
Unavailable
Safety Restricted Why?The Fishing model does not score an hour unless the authoritative on-water Safety status is GO.
Unavailable
Safety Restricted Why?The Fishing model does not score an hour unless the authoritative on-water Safety status is GO.
Unavailable
Safety Restricted Why?The Fishing model does not score an hour unless the authoritative on-water Safety status is GO.
Unavailable
Safety Restricted Why?The Fishing model does not score an hour unless the authoritative on-water Safety status is GO.
Unavailable
Safety Restricted Why?The Fishing model does not score an hour unless the authoritative on-water Safety status is GO.
Unavailable
Safety Restricted Why?The Fishing model does not score an hour unless the authoritative on-water Safety status is GO.
Unavailable
Safety Restricted Why?The Fishing model does not score an hour unless the authoritative on-water Safety status is GO.
Unavailable
Safety Restricted Why?The Fishing model does not score an hour unless the authoritative on-water Safety status is GO.
Unavailable
Safety Restricted Why?The Fishing model does not score an hour unless the authoritative on-water Safety status is GO.
Unavailable
Safety Restricted Why?The Fishing model does not score an hour unless the authoritative on-water Safety status is GO.
Unavailable
Safety Restricted Why?The Fishing model does not score an hour unless the authoritative on-water Safety status is GO.
Unavailable
Safety Restricted Why?The Fishing model does not score an hour unless the authoritative on-water Safety status is GO.
Unavailable
Safety Restricted Why?The Fishing model does not score an hour unless the authoritative on-water Safety status is GO.
Unavailable
Safety Restricted Why?The Fishing model does not score an hour unless the authoritative on-water Safety status is GO.
Unavailable
Safety Restricted Why?The Fishing model does not score an hour unless the authoritative on-water Safety status is GO.
Unavailable
Safety Restricted Why?The Fishing model does not score an hour unless the authoritative on-water Safety status is GO.
Unavailable
Safety Restricted Why?The Fishing model does not score an hour unless the authoritative on-water Safety status is GO.
Unavailable
Safety Restricted Why?The Fishing model does not score an hour unless the authoritative on-water Safety status is GO.
Unavailable
Safety Restricted Why?The Fishing model does not score an hour unless the authoritative on-water Safety status is GO.
Unavailable
Safety Restricted Why?The Fishing model does not score an hour unless the authoritative on-water Safety status is GO.
Unavailable
Safety Restricted Why?The Fishing model does not score an hour unless the authoritative on-water Safety status is GO.
Unavailable
Safety Restricted Why?The Fishing model does not score an hour unless the authoritative on-water Safety status is GO.
Unavailable
Safety Restricted Why?The Fishing model does not score an hour unless the authoritative on-water Safety status is GO.
Unavailable
Safety Restricted Why?The Fishing model does not score an hour unless the authoritative on-water Safety status is GO.
Sunday, Sep 20
Unavailable
Safety Restricted Why?The Fishing model does not score an hour unless the authoritative on-water Safety status is GO.
Unavailable
Safety Restricted Why?The Fishing model does not score an hour unless the authoritative on-water Safety status is GO.
Unavailable
Safety Restricted Why?The Fishing model does not score an hour unless the authoritative on-water Safety status is GO.
Unavailable
Safety Restricted Why?The Fishing model does not score an hour unless the authoritative on-water Safety status is GO.
Unavailable
Safety Restricted Why?The Fishing model does not score an hour unless the authoritative on-water Safety status is GO.
Unavailable
Safety Restricted Why?The Fishing model does not score an hour unless the authoritative on-water Safety status is GO.
Unavailable
Safety Restricted Why?The Fishing model does not score an hour unless the authoritative on-water Safety status is GO.
Unavailable
Safety Restricted Why?The Fishing model does not score an hour unless the authoritative on-water Safety status is GO.
Unavailable
Safety Restricted Why?The Fishing model does not score an hour unless the authoritative on-water Safety status is GO.
Unavailable
Safety Restricted Why?The Fishing model does not score an hour unless the authoritative on-water Safety status is GO.
Unavailable
Safety Restricted Why?The Fishing model does not score an hour unless the authoritative on-water Safety status is GO.
Unavailable
Safety Restricted Why?The Fishing model does not score an hour unless the authoritative on-water Safety status is GO.
Unavailable
Safety Restricted Why?The Fishing model does not score an hour unless the authoritative on-water Safety status is GO.
Unavailable
Safety Restricted Why?The Fishing model does not score an hour unless the authoritative on-water Safety status is GO.
Unavailable
Safety Restricted Why?The Fishing model does not score an hour unless the authoritative on-water Safety status is GO.
Unavailable
Safety Restricted Why?The Fishing model does not score an hour unless the authoritative on-water Safety status is GO.
Unavailable
Safety Restricted Why?The Fishing model does not score an hour unless the authoritative on-water Safety status is GO.
Unavailable
Safety Restricted Why?The Fishing model does not score an hour unless the authoritative on-water Safety status is GO.
Unavailable
Safety Restricted Why?The Fishing model does not score an hour unless the authoritative on-water Safety status is GO.
Unavailable
Safety Restricted Why?The Fishing model does not score an hour unless the authoritative on-water Safety status is GO.
Unavailable
Safety Restricted Why?The Fishing model does not score an hour unless the authoritative on-water Safety status is GO.
Unavailable
Safety Restricted Why?The Fishing model does not score an hour unless the authoritative on-water Safety status is GO.
Unavailable
Safety Restricted Why?The Fishing model does not score an hour unless the authoritative on-water Safety status is GO.
Unavailable
Safety Restricted Why?The Fishing model does not score an hour unless the authoritative on-water Safety status is GO.
Monday, Sep 21
Unavailable
Safety Restricted Why?The Fishing model does not score an hour unless the authoritative on-water Safety status is GO.
Unavailable
Safety Restricted Why?The Fishing model does not score an hour unless the authoritative on-water Safety status is GO.
Unavailable
Safety Restricted Why?The Fishing model does not score an hour unless the authoritative on-water Safety status is GO.
Unavailable
Safety Restricted Why?The Fishing model does not score an hour unless the authoritative on-water Safety status is GO.
Unavailable
Safety Restricted Why?The Fishing model does not score an hour unless the authoritative on-water Safety status is GO.
Unavailable
Safety Restricted Why?The Fishing model does not score an hour unless the authoritative on-water Safety status is GO.
Unavailable
Safety Restricted Why?The Fishing model does not score an hour unless the authoritative on-water Safety status is GO.
Unavailable
Safety Restricted Why?The Fishing model does not score an hour unless the authoritative on-water Safety status is GO.
Unavailable
Safety Restricted Why?The Fishing model does not score an hour unless the authoritative on-water Safety status is GO.
Unavailable
Safety Restricted Why?The Fishing model does not score an hour unless the authoritative on-water Safety status is GO.
Unavailable
Safety Restricted Why?The Fishing model does not score an hour unless the authoritative on-water Safety status is GO.
Unavailable
Safety Restricted Why?The Fishing model does not score an hour unless the authoritative on-water Safety status is GO.
Unavailable
Safety Restricted Why?The Fishing model does not score an hour unless the authoritative on-water Safety status is GO.
Unavailable
Safety Restricted Why?The Fishing model does not score an hour unless the authoritative on-water Safety status is GO.
Unavailable
Safety Restricted Why?The Fishing model does not score an hour unless the authoritative on-water Safety status is GO.
Unavailable
Safety Restricted Why?The Fishing model does not score an hour unless the authoritative on-water Safety status is GO.
Unavailable
Safety Restricted Why?The Fishing model does not score an hour unless the authoritative on-water Safety status is GO.
Unavailable
Safety Restricted Why?The Fishing model does not score an hour unless the authoritative on-water Safety status is GO.
Unavailable
Safety Restricted Why?The Fishing model does not score an hour unless the authoritative on-water Safety status is GO.
Unavailable
Safety Restricted Why?The Fishing model does not score an hour unless the authoritative on-water Safety status is GO.
How this outlook was formed
Safety is the first gate. Only hours with an authoritative on-water Safety status of GO can receive a Fishing score. Unavailable factors are omitted rather than replaced with neighboring or display-only values.
Favorable
Average factor score of 70–100.
At least three primary factors must be usable.
Safety must be GO.
Mixed
Average factor score of 45–69.
Signals may disagree.
Confidence can be reduced by degraded inputs.
Unfavorable
Average factor score of 0–44.
This describes environmental quality, not on-water Safety.
Unavailable
The hour is Safety-restricted or has fewer than three usable factors.
No Fishing score is published.
Current evidence
What is shaping the outlook
Water temperature
Favorable · 66/100
The representative water temperature is within the model’s broad active open-water band.
Input: Degraded
River movement
Unfavorable · 12/100
Rapid river change or substantial runoff weighs against fishing conditions.
Input: Degraded
Light conditions
Unfavorable · 35/100
This hour is before useful morning light or after useful evening light.
Input: Supported
Weather
Unfavorable · 35/100
Strong wind weighs against this fishing hour.
Input: Supported
Carpentersville ConditionsReview current water, weather, Safety, alerts, and official restriction context before going on the water.
This is a rule-based environmental fishing outlook, not a bite forecast. It combines representative water temperature, relative river movement and runoff, light, and forecast weather. It does not score absolute flow or absolute clarity until those inputs have validated reach-specific baselines.
At least three independent factors must be usable. The displayed score is their unweighted mean. The model is not yet calibrated against catch-per-unit-effort and is not species-, technique-, or habitat-specific.